Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.374863 3.659447 3.985358 4.393833 4.904160 5.539491 6.425663
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.003122 3.357299 3.793284 4.392428 5.239753 6.490364 8.753288
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.730867 3.104813 3.584501 4.282048 5.354971 7.163847 11.407929
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.610534 3.017005 3.560268 4.398748 5.818710 8.672279 19.521530
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.436784 2.836184 3.379719 4.241838 5.772292 9.163206 28.638850
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.290710 2.678611 3.212868 4.076137 5.660406 9.441924 44.945944
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.190292 2.575025 3.112385 4.000027 5.696997 10.170044 388.717954
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.152694 2.554492 3.129592 4.118059 6.160480 12.857248 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.137100 2.562654 3.189022 4.317710 6.895992 19.145879 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.084677 2.513462 3.153982 4.338395 7.208598 25.675404 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.041634 2.474995 3.132053 4.379905 7.605434 41.474325 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.959684 2.374698 3.003247 4.194575 7.258749 37.933855 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.916039 2.331889 2.969271 4.204047 7.561731 79.163716 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.870881 2.284686 2.924949 4.187340 7.785298 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.814564 2.218076 2.844112 4.084792 7.670991 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.797251 2.209666 2.859986 4.189530 8.393142 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.741797 2.140413 2.768085 4.047809 8.060767 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.687792 2.071900 2.674967 3.897606 7.668053 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.649608 2.026678 2.620056 3.828400 7.603948 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.641369 2.027195 2.643459 3.935660 8.356590 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.643292 2.043405 2.695031 4.116333 9.687579 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.622311 2.022610 2.679489 4.134998 10.191193 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 1.604844 2.006720 2.671838 4.172421 10.887811 NaN NaN